Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1095.741282 1211.556441 1330.259290 1460.748840 1599.896546 1743.575340 1902.880273
2025-04-20 942.495219 1115.955883 1301.891071 1514.898902 1751.045184 2003.737382 2293.475755
2025-04-27 835.637102 1042.479301 1271.766831 1542.418524 1850.794298 2188.936260 2585.439372
2025-05-04 739.626809 966.858460 1226.315721 1540.558242 1906.922973 2316.804013 2806.205783
2025-05-11 656.738548 896.943520 1178.821313 1528.242978 1943.994647 2417.329465 2991.326381
2025-05-18 599.488395 851.836218 1155.287042 1539.174572 2003.991146 2541.073003 3200.864290
2025-05-25 541.012931 799.849352 1118.716985 1530.144697 2036.695796 2630.214426 3368.184066
2025-06-01 502.822455 770.313165 1106.981406 1548.907536 2100.864354 2755.271518 3577.226495
2025-06-08 455.125346 724.469893 1071.295509 1534.818241 2122.377731 2827.445035 3722.135736
2025-06-15 433.598688 711.998085 1077.112072 1572.064901 2206.751776 2975.497235 3958.664369
2025-06-22 402.142211 683.414693 1059.762443 1577.823285 2250.365239 3073.007949 4133.775630
2025-06-29 369.905872 651.352981 1035.732817 1573.083941 2279.264283 3151.465479 4285.204820
2025-07-06 322.383949 594.251906 975.362495 1518.533778 2243.233818 3148.964702 4337.791318
2025-07-13 314.827841 596.206126 996.698572 1573.864472 2350.559326 3327.760832 4617.384611
2025-07-20 299.472736 585.035504 998.605751 1602.125377 2422.113249 3461.438103 4841.296004
2025-07-27 276.434515 560.157530 979.462712 1600.215220 2452.869748 3542.651811 4999.262775
2025-08-03 252.351911 531.762074 953.618650 1587.569383 2468.189505 3603.340088 5130.976041
2025-08-10 236.611172 515.844024 945.253679 1598.794450 2515.219553 3704.924188 5315.035058
2025-08-17 216.924308 491.758825 923.316406 1589.522203 2533.511293 3768.588952 5450.452817
2025-08-24 205.608415 481.254951 921.465463 1608.788171 2590.782748 3883.482366 5652.327627
2025-08-31 187.426614 457.147807 897.267465 1594.321244 2600.517285 3935.145784 5772.230908
2025-09-07 182.056598 455.880136 908.809435 1632.563944 2683.972482 4085.079939 6020.686244
2025-09-14 170.251391 441.740181 899.053719 1638.475669 2721.664184 4173.930906 6189.714359